NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG SCUS
Points 73.7 69.1
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 24.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 10.9
Shooting LONG SCUS
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 53.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 19.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 27.9 17.1
Free Throw % 68.6% 64.0%
Ball Control LONG SCUS
Rebounds 39.8 26.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 20.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 6.1
Turnovers 11.7 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.2
Steals 6.5 6.3
Fouls 16.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG SCUS
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 63.5
% of Possessions with LONG SCUS
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 30.9%
Player Fouled 25.9% 23.2%
Turnover 16.7% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG SCUS
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 41.2% 19.2%