NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU CMU
Points 65.5 63.6
Total Points   129.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 15.9
Points From Free Throws 11.8 9.8
Shooting WIU CMU
Field Goals Made 23.8 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 63.0
Field Goal % 37.6% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 43.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 14.5
Free Throw % 62.4% 67.1%
Ball Control WIU CMU
Rebounds 47.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 18.0 11.0
Turnovers 10.3 8.0
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.3
Steals 4.1 5.8
Fouls 12.1 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU CMU
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 71.1
% of Possessions with WIU CMU
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 54.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 23.3%
Player Fouled 19.4% 17.8%
Turnover 15.2% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU CMU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 41.7% 27.1%