NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU NEB
Points 62.1 78.6
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 24.7
Points From Free Throws 9.7 13.3
Shooting WIU NEB
Field Goals Made 22.8 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 62.4
Field Goal % 36.6% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 9.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 17.5
Free Throw % 62.4% 76.0%
Ball Control WIU NEB
Rebounds 41.1 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 9.8
Turnovers 11.8 7.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.9
Steals 4.2 6.8
Fouls 13.1 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU NEB
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 72.2
% of Possessions with WIU NEB
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.3% 18.7%
Turnover 16.9% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU NEB
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 27.4%