NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU SDAK
Points 77.0 70.2
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 44.6 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 20.1
Points From Free Throws 11.5 11.3
Shooting WIU SDAK
Field Goals Made 29.3 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 66.1 61.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.5 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 14.7
Free Throw % 62.4% 76.4%
Ball Control WIU SDAK
Rebounds 44.0 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 15.9 8.8
Turnovers 7.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 1.4
Steals 5.0 3.5
Fouls 12.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU SDAK
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 78.3 69.7
% of Possessions with WIU SDAK
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 22.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.4%
Turnover 11.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU SDAK
Shot Blocked 2.4% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 38.9% 23.9%