NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU IOWA
Points 67.2 81.5
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 49.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 17.2
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.0
Shooting WIU IOWA
Field Goals Made 24.6 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 63.6
Field Goal % 40.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 24.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 47.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.4
Free Throw % 62.4% 77.4%
Ball Control WIU IOWA
Rebounds 40.1 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 9.8
Turnovers 12.0 6.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 4.1 6.9
Fouls 14.2 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU IOWA
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 74.5
% of Possessions with WIU IOWA
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 56.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 20.0%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.9%
Turnover 16.9% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.6% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 27.6%