NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU NEOM
Points 67.7 66.4
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 15.0
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.1
Shooting WIU NEOM
Field Goals Made 24.7 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 58.7
Field Goal % 43.2% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.8
Free Throw % 62.4% 75.0%
Ball Control WIU NEOM
Rebounds 41.2 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 8.8
Turnovers 10.9 7.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.3
Steals 3.9 6.1
Fouls 14.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU NEOM
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.4
% of Possessions with WIU NEOM
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 21.8%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.0%
Turnover 16.1% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU NEOM
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 23.6%