NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU USI
Points 62.6 70.6
Total Points   133.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 22.3
Points From Free Throws 14.8 15.1
Shooting WIU USI
Field Goals Made 22.0 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 58.5
Field Goal % 37.8% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.3
Free Throw % 67.4% 67.4%
Ball Control WIU USI
Rebounds 37.3 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.3
Turnovers 9.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.9
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 14.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: S Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU USI
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 72.4
% of Possessions with WIU USI
2 Point Attempt 53.4% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 28.7%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.2%
Turnover 13.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU USI
Shot Blocked 8.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 29.4%