NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF DEL
Points 61.7 67.5
Total Points   129.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 19.2
Points From Free Throws 8.1 13.5
Shooting LAF DEL
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 55.4
Field Goal % 40.1% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 8.1 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 19.2
Free Throw % 68.2% 70.4%
Ball Control LAF DEL
Rebounds 33.4 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.7
Turnovers 9.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.0
Steals 6.1 4.7
Fouls 14.5 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF DEL
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 66.4
% of Possessions with LAF DEL
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 25.2%
Player Fouled 17.1% 21.5%
Turnover 13.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF DEL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 25.3%