NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF L-MD
Points 66.4 59.6
Total Points   126.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 28.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 20.6
Points From Free Throws 9.7 11.0
Shooting LAF L-MD
Field Goals Made 24.9 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.7
Field Goal % 45.6% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 9.7 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 17.1
Free Throw % 68.2% 64.1%
Ball Control LAF L-MD
Rebounds 32.8 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 10.4
Turnovers 9.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 2.0
Steals 6.5 5.4
Fouls 14.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF L-MD
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 65.1
% of Possessions with LAF L-MD
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.6%
Turnover 14.1% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF L-MD
Shot Blocked 3.7% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 28.1%