NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF CLMB
Points 66.6 70.3
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 25.5
Points From Free Throws 8.8 13.1
Shooting LAF CLMB
Field Goals Made 25.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 56.5
Field Goal % 43.0% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 8.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 18.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 71.3%
Ball Control LAF CLMB
Rebounds 33.7 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 2.6
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 14.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF CLMB
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 67.1
% of Possessions with LAF CLMB
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 27.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 20.5%
Turnover 15.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF CLMB
Shot Blocked 4.7% 9.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 27.0%