NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF LEH
Points 64.8 65.8
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 19.9
Points From Free Throws 9.2 14.1
Shooting LAF LEH
Field Goals Made 24.3 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 55.3
Field Goal % 42.9% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 9.2 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 19.3
Free Throw % 68.2% 72.8%
Ball Control LAF LEH
Rebounds 34.5 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.3
Turnovers 11.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.3
Steals 6.1 6.4
Fouls 15.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF LEH
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 66.3
% of Possessions with LAF LEH
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 25.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.9%
Turnover 16.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF LEH
Shot Blocked 4.3% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 20.7%