NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF PRIN
Points 61.1 73.3
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 29.9
Points From Free Throws 7.4 14.4
Shooting LAF PRIN
Field Goals Made 23.5 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 55.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 27.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 7.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 10.8 18.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 78.3%
Ball Control LAF PRIN
Rebounds 32.5 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.1
Turnovers 10.2 7.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.3
Steals 4.1 5.2
Fouls 15.7 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF PRIN
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 66.0
% of Possessions with LAF PRIN
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 37.3%
Player Fouled 16.8% 23.8%
Turnover 15.4% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 21.6%