NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB DART
Points 74.7 65.7
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 23.1
Points From Free Throws 9.8 9.6
Shooting CLMB DART
Field Goals Made 27.4 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 53.8
Field Goal % 46.4% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 9.8 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 14.5
Free Throw % 71.3% 66.3%
Ball Control CLMB DART
Rebounds 33.0 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 6.6
Turnovers 8.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.2
Steals 7.7 4.1
Fouls 14.4 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB DART
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 62.8
% of Possessions with CLMB DART
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 30.6%
Player Fouled 17.7% 21.1%
Turnover 12.9% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB DART
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 20.3%