NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB COR
Points 75.7 85.1
Total Points   160.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 31.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 12.1
Shooting CLMB COR
Field Goals Made 26.7 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 60.2
Field Goal % 45.6% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 69.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 16.3
Free Throw % 71.3% 74.2%
Ball Control CLMB COR
Rebounds 32.3 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.9
Turnovers 12.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.3
Steals 6.5 7.3
Fouls 14.5 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB COR
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 70.5
% of Possessions with CLMB COR
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 36.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.0%
Turnover 16.9% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB COR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 28.4%