NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA UAB
Points 65.2 81.2
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 23.0
Points From Free Throws 12.5 16.8
Shooting SELA UAB
Field Goals Made 22.6 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 58.0
Field Goal % 39.4% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.5 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 22.7
Free Throw % 74.0% 74.3%
Ball Control SELA UAB
Rebounds 31.4 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.6
Turnovers 12.5 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.3
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 16.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA UAB
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 72.3
% of Possessions with SELA UAB
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 22.9%
Turnover 17.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA UAB
Shot Blocked 7.4% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 35.2%