NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORAL LT
Points 61.4 77.0
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 23.4
Points From Free Throws 15.3 14.0
Shooting NORAL LT
Field Goals Made 20.0 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 49.8 53.7
Field Goal % 40.2% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 21.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 66.7%
Ball Control NORAL LT
Rebounds 30.9 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 7.6
Turnovers 15.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.1
Steals 4.2 6.0
Fouls 17.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: North Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORAL LT
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 66.9
% of Possessions with NORAL LT
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 25.3%
Player Fouled 24.9% 24.5%
Turnover 21.3% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORAL LT
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.1%