NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU GONZ
Points 66.2 84.9
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 18.0
Points From Free Throws 9.9 12.7
Shooting LMU GONZ
Field Goals Made 24.1 33.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 61.1
Field Goal % 39.3% 54.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 9.9 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 17.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.6%
Ball Control LMU GONZ
Rebounds 31.4 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.9
Turnovers 8.8 5.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.6
Steals 2.5 5.0
Fouls 13.6 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU GONZ
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 71.4
% of Possessions with LMU GONZ
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 57.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 20.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 20.2%
Turnover 13.1% 8.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 3.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU GONZ
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 32.4%