NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU BYU
Points 66.3 83.7
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 29.9
Points From Free Throws 11.4 11.8
Shooting LMU BYU
Field Goals Made 24.0 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 63.0
Field Goal % 41.4% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.4 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 16.3
Free Throw % 73.7% 72.5%
Ball Control LMU BYU
Rebounds 31.8 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.5
Turnovers 9.1 5.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.7
Steals 2.6 4.6
Fouls 13.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU BYU
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 72.9
% of Possessions with LMU BYU
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 34.6%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.3%
Turnover 13.4% 8.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 3.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU BYU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 30.3%