NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA MCNS
Points 61.4 78.1
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 21.4 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 27.8
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.3
Shooting SELA MCNS
Field Goals Made 19.7 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 49.8 56.9
Field Goal % 39.6% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 10.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 23.7 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.7
Free Throw % 74.0% 69.1%
Ball Control SELA MCNS
Rebounds 32.3 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.6
Turnovers 15.9 8.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.3
Steals 4.4 8.9
Fouls 15.6 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA MCNS
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 61.4 70.0
% of Possessions with SELA MCNS
2 Point Attempt 30.2% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 22.1% 23.0%
Turnover 23.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 13.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA MCNS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 31.7%