NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA FGCU
Points 64.9 70.5
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 29.7
Points From Free Throws 12.0 8.9
Shooting SELA FGCU
Field Goals Made 22.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 56.7
Field Goal % 41.2% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.0 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 13.0
Free Throw % 74.0% 68.1%
Ball Control SELA FGCU
Rebounds 33.1 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.3
Turnovers 11.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.1
Steals 6.4 6.3
Fouls 12.6 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA FGCU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 65.5
% of Possessions with SELA FGCU
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 36.1%
Player Fouled 18.8% 18.8%
Turnover 17.3% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA FGCU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 27.9%