NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LNDNWD MORE
Points 66.9 66.0
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 17.1
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.9
Shooting LNDNWD MORE
Field Goals Made 23.5 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 54.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.8% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 21.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 68.5%
Ball Control LNDNWD MORE
Rebounds 34.2 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 10.2
Turnovers 9.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.7
Steals 6.5 5.2
Fouls 14.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Lindenwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LNDNWD MORE
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 68.2
% of Possessions with LNDNWD MORE
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 23.1%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.1%
Turnover 13.0% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LNDNWD MORE
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 28.4%