NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA TULN
Points 70.6 80.6
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 28.8 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 26.8
Points From Free Throws 14.1 16.7
Shooting SELA TULN
Field Goals Made 23.7 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 55.6
Field Goal % 39.7% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 23.4
Free Throw % 74.0% 71.6%
Ball Control SELA TULN
Rebounds 37.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 6.0
Turnovers 12.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 5.9 7.1
Fouls 17.2 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA TULN
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 69.5
% of Possessions with SELA TULN
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 18.8% 23.5%
Turnover 17.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA TULN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 18.8%