NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA SFA
Points 68.4 66.5
Total Points   134.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 20.5
Points From Free Throws 16.2 12.4
Shooting SELA SFA
Field Goals Made 23.4 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 54.2
Field Goal % 41.8% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 16.2 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 19.3
Free Throw % 74.8% 64.3%
Ball Control SELA SFA
Rebounds 35.2 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.9
Turnovers 11.3 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.2
Steals 7.3 5.7
Fouls 14.6 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA SFA
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 67.1
% of Possessions with SELA SFA
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.1%
Turnover 16.2% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA SFA
Shot Blocked 7.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 31.4%