NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA SFA
Points 59.2 72.7
Total Points   131.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 25.8
Points From Free Throws 13.2 13.4
Shooting SELA SFA
Field Goals Made 20.6 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 57.3
Field Goal % 38.9% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 26.5% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.2 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 69.5%
Ball Control SELA SFA
Rebounds 32.5 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.2
Turnovers 10.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.6
Steals 4.9 5.8
Fouls 13.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: SF Austin

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA SFA
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 69.2
% of Possessions with SELA SFA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 29.3%
Player Fouled 23.1% 20.8%
Turnover 16.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA SFA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 31.7%