NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA PFW
Points 64.7 76.4
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 34.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 10.8
Shooting SELA PFW
Field Goals Made 22.1 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 60.3
Field Goal % 42.5% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 13.5 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 15.0
Free Throw % 74.0% 71.8%
Ball Control SELA PFW
Rebounds 36.3 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 7.6
Turnovers 16.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.9
Steals 5.6 8.5
Fouls 13.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: IPFW

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA PFW
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 69.6
% of Possessions with SELA PFW
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 40.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 19.0%
Turnover 22.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA PFW
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 21.3%