NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORAL KENN
Points 81.9 81.7
Total Points   163.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 23.4
Points From Free Throws 21.9 19.2
Shooting NORAL KENN
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 60.0
Field Goal % 44.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 21.9 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.4 28.6
Free Throw % 77.2% 67.1%
Ball Control NORAL KENN
Rebounds 37.2 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.9
Turnovers 10.3 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.3
Steals 4.9 5.0
Fouls 19.0 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORAL KENN
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 76.9
% of Possessions with NORAL KENN
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 26.7%
Player Fouled 25.6% 25.0%
Turnover 13.6% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORAL KENN
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 26.1%