NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA NORL
Points 74.3 69.1
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 36.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.2
Points From Free Throws 16.3 14.5
Shooting SELA NORL
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 58.5
Field Goal % 45.7% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 16.3 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 20.6
Free Throw % 74.0% 70.6%
Ball Control SELA NORL
Rebounds 39.5 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.3
Steals 5.8 6.7
Fouls 16.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA NORL
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 71.4
% of Possessions with SELA NORL
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 23.4%
Turnover 18.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA NORL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 26.5%