NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB COLG
Points 67.2 73.4
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 21.9
Points From Free Throws 10.2 9.9
Shooting CLMB COLG
Field Goals Made 24.5 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 57.2
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 10.2 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 14.8
Free Throw % 71.3% 66.6%
Ball Control CLMB COLG
Rebounds 32.1 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.1
Turnovers 10.4 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.3
Steals 5.8 5.8
Fouls 12.7 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB COLG
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 66.6
% of Possessions with CLMB COLG
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 16.7% 18.5%
Turnover 15.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB COLG
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 25.5%