NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAMCOM HAW
Points 62.9 77.5
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 19.8
Points From Free Throws 12.8 18.1
Shooting TAMCOM HAW
Field Goals Made 22.4 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 52.7
Field Goal % 38.4% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 12.8 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 24.9
Free Throw % 69.6% 72.5%
Ball Control TAMCOM HAW
Rebounds 28.2 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 8.3
Turnovers 9.3 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.7
Steals 6.5 3.4
Fouls 17.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-Com

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAMCOM HAW
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 67.8
% of Possessions with TAMCOM HAW
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 22.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 23.8%
Turnover 12.8% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAMCOM HAW
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 16.3% 27.5%