NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB MRST
Points 65.1 67.7
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 22.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 10.9
Shooting CLMB MRST
Field Goals Made 22.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 54.5
Field Goal % 43.1% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.3 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 14.9
Free Throw % 71.3% 72.8%
Ball Control CLMB MRST
Rebounds 32.5 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.5
Turnovers 12.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.6
Steals 6.9 5.9
Fouls 14.1 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB MRST
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.0 64.0
% of Possessions with CLMB MRST
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.1% 20.9%
Turnover 18.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB MRST
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 23.3%