NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA LSU
Points 63.5 81.4
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 30.9
Points From Free Throws 13.2 14.7
Shooting SELA LSU
Field Goals Made 21.4 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.3
Field Goal % 38.6% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 13.2 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 20.1
Free Throw % 74.0% 73.3%
Ball Control SELA LSU
Rebounds 31.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.3
Turnovers 13.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.7
Steals 7.2 7.7
Fouls 14.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA LSU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.2
% of Possessions with SELA LSU
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 33.0%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.7%
Turnover 19.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA LSU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 31.9%