NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU PAC
Points 80.9 64.8
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 16.6
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.5
Shooting LMU PAC
Field Goals Made 29.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.0
Field Goal % 49.7% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 19.1
Free Throw % 73.7% 65.1%
Ball Control LMU PAC
Rebounds 40.8 26.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 5.9
Turnovers 8.5 7.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.4
Steals 3.1 4.3
Fouls 16.0 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU PAC
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 65.9
% of Possessions with LMU PAC
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 23.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.7%
Turnover 12.5% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU PAC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 16.7%