NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB PRIN
Points 72.2 80.6
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 31.8
Points From Free Throws 9.9 13.0
Shooting CLMB PRIN
Field Goals Made 27.2 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.9
Field Goal % 49.0% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 9.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 16.6
Free Throw % 71.3% 78.3%
Ball Control CLMB PRIN
Rebounds 31.4 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.9
Turnovers 10.9 7.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 1.6
Steals 4.5 5.4
Fouls 15.5 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB PRIN
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 67.9
% of Possessions with CLMB PRIN
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 39.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 22.7%
Turnover 16.0% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 22.1%