NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU PEPP
Points 72.2 71.5
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 18.3
Points From Free Throws 12.2 12.3
Shooting LMU PEPP
Field Goals Made 26.4 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.4
Field Goal % 46.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 12.2 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 17.7
Free Throw % 73.7% 69.8%
Ball Control LMU PEPP
Rebounds 34.5 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.2
Turnovers 9.3 6.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.1
Steals 3.0 4.0
Fouls 15.1 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU PEPP
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 69.1
% of Possessions with LMU PEPP
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 54.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 21.9%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.5%
Turnover 13.9% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU PEPP
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 26.3%