NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAMCOM ACU
Points 67.9 75.8
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 14.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 18.8
Shooting TAMCOM ACU
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 56.6
Field Goal % 41.5% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 13.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 13.9 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 25.7
Free Throw % 69.6% 73.4%
Ball Control TAMCOM ACU
Rebounds 32.6 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.5
Turnovers 12.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.4
Steals 6.2 5.9
Fouls 16.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-Com

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAMCOM ACU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 72.1
% of Possessions with TAMCOM ACU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 15.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 22.9%
Turnover 16.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAMCOM ACU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 27.8%