NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNM UTECH
Points 86.3 64.8
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.8 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 17.4
Points From Free Throws 20.2 14.1
Shooting UNM UTECH
Field Goals Made 29.8 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 55.8
Field Goal % 47.1% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.5 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 20.2 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 27.9 22.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 63.3%
Ball Control UNM UTECH
Rebounds 41.9 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.9
Turnovers 9.2 16.0
Blocked Shots 6.3 4.3
Steals 10.1 5.1
Fouls 16.6 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: New Mexico

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNM UTECH
Total Possessions 76.0
Effective Scoring Chances 80.1 68.9
% of Possessions with UNM UTECH
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 22.6%
Player Fouled 24.1% 21.8%
Turnover 12.2% 21.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 13.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNM UTECH
Shot Blocked 7.9% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 23.8%