NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX KU
Points 71.1 71.7
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 43.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 15.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.6
Shooting TEX KU
Field Goals Made 25.2 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 56.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 14.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 19.0
Free Throw % 76.5% 71.4%
Ball Control TEX KU
Rebounds 33.7 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.2
Turnovers 9.8 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.5
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 14.5 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX KU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.4
% of Possessions with TEX KU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 18.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 20.5%
Turnover 13.8% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX KU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 24.6%