NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX WVU
Points 80.3 67.8
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 20.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.9
Shooting TEX WVU
Field Goals Made 29.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 54.0
Field Goal % 48.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 21.2
Free Throw % 76.5% 70.4%
Ball Control TEX WVU
Rebounds 35.4 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.1
Turnovers 9.0 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.9
Steals 7.3 3.8
Fouls 16.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX WVU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 66.5
% of Possessions with TEX WVU
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 22.6%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.5%
Turnover 12.8% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX WVU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 23.7%