NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX TTU
Points 75.2 71.9
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 22.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 15.5
Shooting TEX TTU
Field Goals Made 28.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 56.5
Field Goal % 47.6% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 19.7
Free Throw % 76.5% 78.5%
Ball Control TEX TTU
Rebounds 34.5 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.5
Turnovers 9.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.2
Steals 5.4 5.0
Fouls 15.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX TTU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 68.2
% of Possessions with TEX TTU
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.8%
Player Fouled 18.8% 22.0%
Turnover 14.0% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX TTU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 27.8%