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Texas vs. N Carolina
Wed Dec 2, 2020
4:00pm ET
Asheville, NC
(Neutral Site)
Texas vs. N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas by 1, Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TEX | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-20-0 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 13-10-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-11-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-9-0 | 13-9-0 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Incar Word | -31.0 | W by 32 | +1.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Delaware St | -32.5 | W by 27 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Rice | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Louisville | -17.5 | W by 1 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Connecticut | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Wyoming | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas St | -19.5 | W by 19 | -0.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Hsn Christian | -33.0 | W by 27 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | LSU | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -23.5 | W by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX-Arlington | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Cincinnati | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Virginia | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | UCF | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | BYU | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Houston | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX Christian | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | L by 21 | -11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Kansas St | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Baylor | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas St | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| TEX -1.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -1.0 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1443 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas won the game 773 times (53.6%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 670 times (46.4%).
- The team like Texas did better against the spread, going 720-692-31 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 25 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas did better against the spread, going 12-10-3 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| Open | +1.0 | (Pick) | +1.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/02 03:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 03:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/02 03:32 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 03:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 02:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 02:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/02 02:14 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 12/02 02:05 PM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 12/02 02:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 01:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 01:05 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:55 PM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 12/02 12:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 11:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 11:25 AM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 12/02 11:24 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/02 11:20 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:44 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/02 10:44 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/02 10:20 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:15 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 12/02 10:14 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/02 09:50 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 09:44 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
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