NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX DAV
Points 74.2 64.6
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 18.2
Points From Free Throws 14.5 13.6
Shooting TEX DAV
Field Goals Made 26.4 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 55.1
Field Goal % 46.1% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 14.5 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.5
Free Throw % 76.5% 73.6%
Ball Control TEX DAV
Rebounds 36.5 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.1
Turnovers 9.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 6.5 5.3
Fouls 15.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX DAV
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 66.0
% of Possessions with TEX DAV
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 24.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.1%
Turnover 14.1% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX DAV
Shot Blocked 6.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 23.0%