NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA GRC
Points 63.2 76.7
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 21.3
Points From Free Throws 17.8 25.3
Shooting SFA GRC
Field Goals Made 20.0 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 48.6
Field Goal % 37.0% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 25.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 33.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 76.0%
Ball Control SFA GRC
Rebounds 32.1 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.6
Turnovers 15.4 14.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.2
Steals 7.0 8.3
Fouls 21.2 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA GRC
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 69.7
% of Possessions with SFA GRC
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 34.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 22.4%
Player Fouled 25.5% 28.7%
Turnover 20.9% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA GRC
Shot Blocked 10.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 34.1%