NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA SHSU
Points 70.7 72.0
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 21.7
Points From Free Throws 18.5 18.1
Shooting SFA SHSU
Field Goals Made 23.1 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 51.0 52.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 18.5 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 25.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.3%
Ball Control SFA SHSU
Rebounds 32.4 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.8
Turnovers 14.5 14.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.1
Steals 6.9 6.8
Fouls 19.1 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA SHSU
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 69.0
% of Possessions with SFA SHSU
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 22.2%
Player Fouled 27.3% 26.2%
Turnover 19.9% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA SHSU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 32.1%