NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA CARK
Points 78.1 66.6
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 23.4
Points From Free Throws 19.7 15.9
Shooting SFA CARK
Field Goals Made 25.2 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 52.0
Field Goal % 44.4% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 43.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 19.7 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 21.1
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.3%
Ball Control SFA CARK
Rebounds 37.4 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.6
Turnovers 12.3 16.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.4
Steals 9.8 6.8
Fouls 16.8 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA CARK
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 65.7
% of Possessions with SFA CARK
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 24.6%
Player Fouled 25.7% 22.7%
Turnover 16.6% 22.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 13.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA CARK
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 25.6%