NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA MTU
Points 70.9 65.9
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 25.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 22.3
Points From Free Throws 16.8 17.8
Shooting SFA MTU
Field Goals Made 24.4 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 49.4
Field Goal % 42.2% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 12.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.8 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 24.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.4%
Ball Control SFA MTU
Rebounds 35.8 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.3
Turnovers 11.8 16.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.8
Steals 7.2 5.0
Fouls 18.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA MTU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 65.3
% of Possessions with SFA MTU
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 34.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 23.4% 25.2%
Turnover 16.3% 22.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA MTU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 28.0%