NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA LAM
Points 72.8 69.7
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 20.2
Points From Free Throws 19.5 16.6
Shooting SFA LAM
Field Goals Made 23.2 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.1
Field Goal % 42.9% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 19.5 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 23.1
Free Throw % 70.3% 72.1%
Ball Control SFA LAM
Rebounds 37.1 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.7
Turnovers 14.7 15.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.5
Steals 7.8 6.8
Fouls 18.4 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA LAM
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 69.2
% of Possessions with SFA LAM
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 21.9%
Player Fouled 25.8% 24.9%
Turnover 19.9% 20.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA LAM
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 36.9% 30.8%