NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA IW
Points 80.3 64.6
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 26.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 20.3
Points From Free Throws 21.8 17.8
Shooting SFA IW
Field Goals Made 25.7 20.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 49.0
Field Goal % 46.0% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 13.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 21.8 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 31.0 24.9
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.7%
Ball Control SFA IW
Rebounds 35.6 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.3
Turnovers 11.8 19.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.5
Steals 9.8 5.7
Fouls 18.3 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA IW
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 65.2
% of Possessions with SFA IW
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 22.5%
Player Fouled 27.1% 24.4%
Turnover 15.7% 25.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 13.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA IW
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 33.4% 28.2%