NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA NWST
Points 77.2 65.1
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 17.3
Points From Free Throws 22.2 16.7
Shooting SFA NWST
Field Goals Made 24.6 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 51.1
Field Goal % 47.1% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 22.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 31.6 25.7
Free Throw % 70.3% 64.9%
Ball Control SFA NWST
Rebounds 38.2 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.8
Turnovers 14.2 16.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.9
Steals 8.1 6.6
Fouls 18.5 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA NWST
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 67.4
% of Possessions with SFA NWST
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 20.0%
Player Fouled 27.6% 25.0%
Turnover 19.3% 22.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA NWST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 39.4% 28.1%