NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU SUU
Points 72.8 77.7
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 45.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 14.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 17.9
Shooting NAU SUU
Field Goals Made 27.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 58.3
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 11.7 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 25.1
Free Throw % 69.2% 71.3%
Ball Control NAU SUU
Rebounds 34.1 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.0
Turnovers 11.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.7
Steals 4.9 6.6
Fouls 17.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU SUU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 73.4
% of Possessions with NAU SUU
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 21.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 24.5%
Turnover 15.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU SUU
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 28.7%