NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU IDHO
Points 68.4 68.6
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 18.4
Points From Free Throws 13.8 12.3
Shooting NAU IDHO
Field Goals Made 24.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 55.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 13.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 16.5
Free Throw % 69.2% 74.3%
Ball Control NAU IDHO
Rebounds 33.1 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.2
Turnovers 10.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.8
Steals 5.3 5.5
Fouls 14.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Arizona

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU IDHO
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 65.4
% of Possessions with NAU IDHO
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 25.7%
Player Fouled 23.7% 20.9%
Turnover 15.1% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU IDHO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 22.2%