NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA ACU
Points 72.9 70.0
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 17.0
Points From Free Throws 18.5 19.4
Shooting SFA ACU
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 50.9
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 18.5 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 26.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 73.4%
Ball Control SFA ACU
Rebounds 35.3 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.0
Turnovers 15.7 14.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.2
Steals 7.4 7.8
Fouls 19.5 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA ACU
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 67.4
% of Possessions with SFA ACU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 17.4%
Player Fouled 26.7% 26.2%
Turnover 21.2% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA ACU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 24.5%